cDebt Policies of Indian State Governments Sustainability Fiscal Coordination and Growth Implications
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Abstract
newline ABSTRACT
newlineThe study analyses the debt policies of the Indian state governments through the vantage
newlinepoints of sustainability, fiscal coordination and growth implications. More precisely, it
newlineempirically (i) tests whether the debt policies of Indian state governments are sustainable or not
newlineduring the period 2003-04 to 2014-15, (ii) investigates how the public debt policies of Indian
newlinestates coordinate with the other fiscal (policy) indicators during the period and (iii) examines
newlinehow the debt policy influences the growth process of Indian states
newlineThe key motivation behind this attempt is that sub-national borrowing has become an
newlineincreasingly important source of sub-national finance in many countries with the federal
newlinesystem, including India. In the aftermath of growing tendency of decentralization, the
newlinesub-national governments are made to heavily depend on the borrowed resources to meet their
newlineexpenditure commitments. Accumulation of debt of such nature leads to the accumulation of
newlinewhich is a persistent cause of many issues relating to (i) the reckless borrowing which is way
newlineoff the repayment capacity of sub-national governments (ii) lack of coordination of debt with
newlineother policy variables which has been implicated in many sub-national debt crises and (iii) the
newlinenegative impact of the high levels of indebtedness on the growth process of many sub-national
newlinegovernments. India provides an ideal federal setting to analyse the sub-national debt as
newlineone-third of total government debt is owned by the state governments along with persistent
newlinegrowth in the budget deficits and the borrowing requirements.
newlineThis study primarily utilizes the Bohn framework for panel data and a penalized spline
newlinetechnique for analyzing the above objective. The results indicate that the primary balance of
newlinestate governments responds positively to high public debt and so debt policies are successful in
newlinesustaining the debt situation of Indian states as a whole. However, at the individual level in 11
newlineout of 20 states debt is s